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IPO Weekly Recap: Yes, the IPO Market has caught the coronavirus – Nasdaq

Posted: February 29, 2020 at 9:43 am

The IPO market is feeling the effects of the coronavirus outbreak with a surge in the VIX volatility index weighing on IPO activity. Since 2015, a week in which VIX volatility has surpassed 35 has been followed by a week averaging two US IPO pricings. Our observational trend continues through 2020, as one biotech entered the public market this past week.  Six IPOs and three SPACs submitted initial filings with the SEC.

Passage Bio (PASG), a preclinical biotech developing gene therapies, priced at the high end of the range to raise $216 million at an $840 million market cap. The deal raised 72% more in proceeds than Passage Bio originally filed for. The company is furthering the research from UPenn’s Gene Therapy Program, which is headed by co-founder James Wilson. Bolstered by the recent performances of other large early stage biotech IPOs, Passage Bio finished up 23%, another sign that biotechs are pushing back against the effects of the coronavirus. Chinese medical information platform Zhongchao (ZCMD) began trading on Monday after raising $12 million in an IPO on Friday 2/21. The company was flat after its first day on the Nasdaq and is currently down 2%.

Accolade NLS Pharmaceutics ORIC Pharmaceutics Procore Technologies Pulmonx ZoomInfo Social Hedosophia II Social Hedosophia III GigCaptial3

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IPO Weekly Recap: Yes, the IPO Market has caught the coronavirus

Investment Disclosure: Renaissance IPO ETF (symbol: IPO) Renaissance International ETF (symbol: IPOS)

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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Sequencing the Human Genome Was Supposed to Revolutionize Treatment of Disease Heres Why It Failed – SciTechDaily

Posted: February 29, 2020 at 9:43 am

Early proponents of genome sequencing made misleading predictions about its potential in medicine.

An emergency room physician, initially unable to diagnose a disoriented patient, finds on the patient a wallet-sized card providing access to his genome, or all his DNA. The physician quickly searches the genome, diagnoses the problem and sends the patient off for a gene-therapy cure. Thats what a Pulitzer prize-winning journalist imagined 2020 would look like when she reported on the Human Genome Project back in 1996.

The Human Genome Project was an international scientific collaboration that successfully mapped, sequenced and made publicly available the genetic content of human chromosomes or all human DNA. Taking place between 1990 and 2003, the project caused many to speculate about the future of medicine. In 1996, Walter Gilbert, a Nobel laureate, said, The results of the Human Genome Project will produce a tremendous shift in the way we can do medicine and attack problems of human disease. In 2000, Francis Collins, then head of the HGP at the National Institutes of Health, predicted, Perhaps in another 15 or 20 years, you will see a complete transformation in therapeutic medicine. The same year, President Bill Clinton stated the Human Genome Project would revolutionize the diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of most, if not all, human diseases.

It is now 2020 and no one carries a genome card. Physicians typically do not examine your DNA to diagnose or treat you. Why not? As I explain in a recent article in the Journal of Neurogenetics, the causes of common debilitating diseases are complex, so they typically are not amenable to simple genetic treatments, despite the hope and hype to the contrary.

The idea that a single gene can cause common diseases has been around for several decades. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, high-profile scientific journals, including Nature and JAMA, announced single-gene causation of bipolar disorder, schizophrenia, and alcoholism, among other conditions and behaviors. These articles drew massive attention in the popular media, but were soon retracted or failed attempts at replication. These reevaluations completely undermined the initial conclusions, which often had relied on misguided statistical tests. Biologists were generally aware of these developments, though the follow-up studies received little attention in popular media.

There are indeed individual gene mutations that cause devastating disorders, such as Huntingtons disease. But most common debilitating diseases are not caused by a mutation of a single gene. This is because people who have a debilitating genetic disease, on average, do not survive long enough to have numerous healthy children. In other words, there is strong evolutionary pressure against such mutations. Huntingtons disease is an exception that endures because it typically does not produce symptoms until a patient is beyond their reproductive years. Although new mutations for many other disabling conditions occur by chance, they dont become frequent in the population.

Instead, most common debilitating diseases are caused by combinations of mutations in many genes, each having a very small effect. They interact with one another and with environmental factors, modifying the production of proteins from genes. The many kinds of microbes that live within the human body can play a role, too.

A silver bullet genetic fix is still elusive for most diseases.

Since common serious diseases are rarely caused by single-gene mutations, they cannot be cured by replacing the mutated gene with a normal copy, the premise for gene therapy. Gene therapy has gradually progressed in research along a very bumpy path, which has included accidentally causing leukemia and at least one death, but doctors recently have been successful treating some rare diseases in which a single-gene mutation has had a large effect. Gene therapy for rare single-gene disorders is likely to succeed, but must be tailored to each individual condition. The enormous cost and the relatively small number of patients who can be helped by such a treatment may create insurmountable financial barriers in these cases. For many diseases, gene therapy may never be useful.

The Human Genome Project has had an enormous impact on almost every field of biological research, by spurring technical advances that facilitate fast, precise and relatively inexpensive sequencing and manipulation of DNA. But these advances in research methods have not led to dramatic improvements in treatment of common debilitating diseases.

Although you cannot bring your genome card to your next doctors appointment, perhaps you can bring a more nuanced understanding of the relationship between genes and disease. A more accurate understanding of disease causation may insulate patients against unrealistic stories and false promises.

Written by Ari Berkowitz, Presidential Professor of Biology; Director, Cellular & Behavioral Neurobiology Graduate Program, at the University of Oklahoma.

Originally published on The Conversation.

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uniQure Presents Multiple New Preclinical Data on AMT-130 at the CHDI’s 15th Annual Huntington’s Disease Therapeutics Conference – GlobeNewswire

Posted: February 29, 2020 at 9:43 am

~ Up to Two Years of Follow-up in Large Transgenic Huntingtons Disease Model Demonstrates Stable mHTT Protein Lowering ~

~ Novel Preclinical Data Demonstrates Successful Lowering of Pathogenic Exon 1 Fragment ~

~ Additional Data Demonstrates the Potential of MRS as Imaging Biomarker for Huntingtons Disease Gene-Therapy Studies ~

LEXINGTON, Mass. and AMSTERDAM, the Netherlands, Feb. 27, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- uniQure N.V. (NASDAQ: QURE), a leading gene therapy company advancing transformative therapies for patients with severe medical needs, today announced the presentation of multiple new preclinical data on AMT-130, its investigational AAV gene therapy for the treatment of Huntingtons disease (HD), at the 15th Annual CHDI Huntingtons disease Therapeutics Conference in Palm Springs, California.

Our data presentations at CHDI illustrate the increasing potential of AMT-130 to target the highly toxic exon 1 protein fragment, achieve broad vector biodistribution across several animal species and show meaningful activity using the presence of extracellular vesicles as a potential biomarker, stated Sander van Deventer, M.D., Ph.D., executive vice president, research & product development of uniQure. In addition, we highlight the use of magnetic resonance spectroscopy as a potentially important imaging biomarker to measure the restoration of target tissue. Collectively, these findings represent a robust package of new preclinical data to better inform how researchers and clinicians pursue a much-needed treatment for this devastating disease.

Four scientific abstracts submitted by uniQure researchers were accepted for presentation at the conference, of which one is an oral presentation to be featured today. Important findings across several preclinical studies presented at the conference include the following:

Translatable Biomarkers in Gene Therapy for Huntington Disease: Learnings from Pre-clinical Studies

Secreted Therapeutics: Monitoring Durability of microRNA-based Gene Therapies in Huntingtons disease

Lowering the Pathogenic Exon 1 HTT Fragment by AAV5-miHTT Gene Therapy

Exploring the Effects of Intrastriatal AAV5-miHTT Lowering Therapy on Neuronal Function, MRS Signal and Mutant Huntingtin Levels in the Q175FDN Mouse Model of Huntingtons disease

The uniQure data presentations featured at CHDI are available on the investor page of the Companys website, http://www.uniQure.com

About Huntingtons DiseaseHuntingtons disease is a rare, inherited neurodegenerative disorder that leads to loss of muscle coordination, behavioral abnormalities and cognitive decline, resulting in complete physical and mental deterioration. The disease is an autosomal dominant condition with a disease-causing CAG repeat expansion in the first exon of the huntingtin gene, that leads to the production and aggregation of abnormal protein in the brain. Despite the clear etiology of Huntingtons disease, there are no therapies to delay the onset or to slow the diseases progression.

About uniQure uniQure is delivering on the promise of gene therapy single treatments with potentially curative results. We are leveraging our modular and validated technology platform to rapidly advance a pipeline of proprietary gene therapies to treat patients with hemophilia B, hemophilia A, Huntington's disease, Fabry disease, spinocerebellar ataxia Type 3 and other diseases. http://www.uniQure.com

uniQure Forward-Looking StatementsThis press release contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are often indicated by terms such as "anticipate," "believe," "could," "estimate," "expect," "goal," "intend," "look forward to", "may," "plan," "potential," "predict," "project," "should," "will," "would" and similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are based on management's beliefs and assumptions and on information available to management only as of the date of this press release. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, whether AMT-130 will target the highly toxic exon 1 protein fragment, achieve broad vector biodistribution across several animal species or show meaningful activity using the presence of extracellular vesicles as a potential biomarker, and whether magnetic resonance spectroscopy will be an important imaging biomarker to measure the restoration of target tissue. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements for many reasons, including, without limitation, risks associated with our and our collaborators clinical development activities, clinical results, collaboration arrangements, corporate reorganizations and strategic shifts, regulatory oversight, product commercialization and intellectual property claims, as well as the risks, uncertainties and other factors described under the heading "Risk Factors" in uniQures Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q filed on October 28, 2019. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, and we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements, even if new information becomes available in the future.

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Pharmacquired: Where are all the deals? – BioPharma Dive

Posted: February 29, 2020 at 9:43 am

Alongside resolutions, the new year tends to come with biopharma acquisitions. The first two months of 2018 brought four deals worth $1 billion or more. The same was true in 2019, which barely got off the ground before a mammoth bid for Celgene was announced.

The early days of 2020, by contrast, have notched just one billion-dollar deal.

Analysts and consultants are mostly waving off this period of lighter activity. "We don't think a lack of deals over a couple of months is really anything notable," said Phil Nadeau of Cowen & Co. "It's probably just a bit of a dry period for no reason at all."

And yet, the slow start could seem oddly timed. It doesn't fit with the early and splashy dealmaking seen in recent years, nor does it align with some investment bank expectations that drug companies might try to ink deals sooner in the year to avoid possible disruptions from the U.S. presidential election.

But perhaps most glaring: the downswing comes as many large biotech and pharmaceutical companies are seemingly in need of M&A.

Two of the biggest biotechs, Gilead and Biogen, are under pressure to acquire because they haven't convinced investors that their experimental drugs can make up for problems on the commercial side of the business.

Among the pharmas, Sanofi, Eli Lilly and GlaxoSmithKline are trying to play catch up in the industry's hottest research area, oncology, and have shown a willingness to speed up that process through buyouts. Swiss drug giants Roche and Novartis, meanwhile, paid hefty premiums for footholds in the rapidly evolving gene therapy field.

Even Vertex and Merck & Co., which are considered to be in strong financial and competitive positions, turned to M&A several times last year to seed themselves for future growth.

"It's clear that, given the growth rates among the large companies in the industry, they have to keep filling their pipeline through acquisition, partnership or in-licensing," Nadeau said.

*Transaction value classified by acquiring company type. 2019 data through Nov. 30 of last year

Image Source: Jacob Bell / BioPharma Dive, data from EY

With buyers still on the lookout, industry followers predict 2020 will deliver a healthy level of M&A in spite of the early drought.

What they don't foresee, however, is this year being defined by a mega-deal like the last two were. Instead, bolt-on deals in the $5 billion to $10 billion range will be a "sweet spot" for large pharma acquirers, according to PwC.

Companies hold ample resources to support such deals too, as EY estimates the life sciences industry has more than $1 trillion at its disposal for deals. Notably, that's after a record-setting 2019 in which the industry spent north of $350 billion on M&A.

"There was so much moving and shaking that happened last year. And for me, I just feel like the underlying activity is still there. It just hasn't reached the surface yet," said Glenn Hunzinger, U.S. Pharmaceutical and Life Sciences Deals Leader at PwC.

If and when the activity surfaces, it's likely to target rare disease treatments, cell and gene therapy, and cancer drugs, with the latter proving particularly attractive. A recent Jefferies analysis found two-thirds of small- to mid-sized biotechs that got a cancer drug approved since 2010 were later acquired.

Many potential buyers, though, are in more comfortable financial positions now than they were even a couple years ago, and may not be as open to a less-than-perfect fit when considering a deal.

"Growth has returned to the large cap space, partially through acquisitions, and free cash flow across a number of large-cap companies has never been higher," said Kennen MacKay, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets. These companies now "have the luxury of time on their side, and they can be a little bit more selective."

That's especially true with regard to pricing, according to MacKay, who said the current lull in M&A may have something to do with a rebound in biotech stocks. The XBI, an exchange traded fund of about 130 biotechs, is up about 20% since hitting a relative low point in October. The rise also comes after multiple years in which cancer and gene therapy-focused biotechs have sold for high double-digit and sometimes triple-digit premiums.

"I think there's real reluctance to buy when small-, mid-cap stock prices are really running up," MacKay said.

Nadeau from Cowen, conversely, sees valuation as less of a barrier.

"Occasionally you do hear business development executives or former management teams talk about how valuation has gotten rich and they don't see attractive targets at a right price," he said. "But on the other hand, when you get these business development folks in private, offline, they'll admit that valuations are very flexible too. And if there's a strategic deal that a company wants to do, they can make any valuation work."

On his end, Nadeau isn't reading too much into 2020's slow M&A start. He guesses it's either due to happenstance, or because some of the deals that might have been inked this quarter were tied up early. Between October and December there were at least nine biopharma acquisitions, including five valued at more than $2 billion.

Peter Behner, global transactions leader for EY's Health Science & Wellness business, also doesn't envision the quiet period will last much longer. Whether in pharmaceuticals or other industries, companies don't just go dormant after a productive year of dealmaking, he said.

"I don't have a great explanation," Behner added. "At the same time, I don't have much doubt that the year should be a solid year."

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Treatment in clinical trial offers options to woman fighting return of cancer (+ video) – WRAL Tech Wire

Posted: February 28, 2020 at 11:44 am

CHAPEL HILL When Sabrina Shelton received her college degree in 2007, her thoughts were focused on her future. She considered grad school and going straight into the workforce, looking for housing and starting salaries, but what she didnt expect was a cancer diagnosis.

In April of 2008, Shelton, now 34, of Bedford, Virginia, was diagnosed with acute lymphoblastic leukemia, derailing her plans for the next phase of her life and fast tracking her into a month of cancer treatment, followed by a year of after care.

At the time, youre asking yourself, What do I want to do? What do I want? she said. Its the kind of existential question that were all asking ourselves as we graduated college, and then you get your answer.

For Shelton, her cancer journey started off smoothly. She was in remission within a month of starting treatment and was cancer-free for almost five years a standard cancer survivorship benchmark. But her cancer returned in 2012 and again in 2014. And still again in 2018.

I just wanted to get to that five-year mark so bad, Shelton said. I was of course upset about it and disappointed that it didnt at least get me to the five-year mark, because thats the target number that I wanted. With every recurrence, I do have those moments where when I initially hear about it, Im shocked.

The bulk of Sheltons care had been at the University of Virginia Cancer Center, with the exception of a stem cell transplant with UNC LinebergersPaul Armistead, MD. With her recurrence in 2018, she had exhausted traditional treatment options, so Sheltons care team referred her to UNC LinebergersMatthew Foster, MD, for a chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy clinical trial.

CAR-T immunotherapyuses a patients own immune system to fight their cancer. This involves extracting the patients T-cells, manipulating them to recognize the patients cancer, and then re-infusing them into the patient to attack their cancer cells.

One advantage of these altered T-cells is that they can survive and persist within the body and, not only be an army of cells for one time, but an occupying force, Foster said.

At the North Carolina Cancer Hospital clinic in Chapel Hill, Foster was both optimistic and realistic about Sheltons prognosis, taking time to answer her questions. CAR-T being a relatively new treatment, however, there were not a lot of outcomes and results he could share with Shelton, a self-proclaimed numbers person.

I want to know how many people have had it, how many have survived, how long has it lasted? she said. And they just cant tell me its going to last short term or long term. But the clinical trial itself went way better than I had imagined in my mind of how it would go.

Foster and the cellular immunotherapy team at UNC Lineberger look for new treatments for difficult-to-treat cancers, and Shelton was part of the corresponding study that aimed to make treatments safer.

Fortunately, she had an easier pathway with these CAR-T therapies than she did with her transplant, Foster said. Thats not necessarily true for all patients. There are patients who have had more profound toxicities.

For Shelton, the difference in treatment strategies was significant. With CAR-T, she didnt suffer the same types of side effects she had with chemotherapy and radiation or the lengthy hospital stay and recovery with the stem cell transplant. There was no hair loss; no mouth sores; no bone-deep fatigue. She said her real fear was neurological effects from the CAR-T treatment, but her cognition was unaffected.

The only major thing Ive had was a fever. I never had any of the hallucinations or the other major neurological symptoms, she said. For that to be the biggest side effect that I had, I was certainly blessed.

We see a number of young adults and adolescents with acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Unfortunately, this population is often in the midst of launching themselves from under their parents wings and launching their careers or education, Foster said. Sometimes the parents take an active role, and sometimes the parents dont. Sabrina is fortunate to have supportive parents and a great attitude herself in terms of taking care of herself and trying to blend her care for herself with her career aspirations and personal life.

These days, Sheltons focus is on her life outside of cancer. She enjoys volunteering at a bridal shop that receives donated dresses from high-end shops like Kleinfeld Bridal in New York and gives the proceeds to help women in need. She recently took trips to Colorado and California. Shes even planning to go to New York something she couldnt imagine doing during her initial diagnosis and recurrence.

I see everybody else around me living life. So, I feel like, why cant I? she said. Of course, life can happen in between all of these plans, but Im just not going to sit back and watch life pass me. Im going to get out there as much as I possibly can.

Learn more about theCAR-T Immunotherapy Programat UNC Lineberger.

(C) UNC

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Searching for the ‘big break’ that could turn stem cells into a weapon against dementia – Genetic Literacy Project

Posted: February 28, 2020 at 11:44 am

Recent developments in the field of stem cell research are paving a path towards a radical shift in the way we diagnose and treat dementia. Stem cells have excited scientists for years and research groups across the globe are using them to advance modern medicine. Using stem cells to aid the fight against dementia is perhaps one of the most critical applications of the technology. Dementia is the leading cause of death in the UK, sixth in US and fifth globally, with an estimated 50 million people currently affected.

The term dementia does not relate to a single disease, but more an array of symptoms that can arise from multiple conditions. The most common is Alzheimers disease (AD) which accounts for up to 80% of all cases. Dementia itself is caused by the death of cells that make up the complex circuitry of our brains and an eventual loss of large portions of the brain. Patients suffering with dementia often exhibit the same general symptoms such as confusion, memory loss and an inability to perform day to day functions. It is a debilitating condition that often strikes the most vulnerable members of society and, consequently, many research groups around the globe work to try to understand dementia-causing diseases to provide better diagnostic and treatment platforms.

In 2007, a research group at Kyoto University in Japan published a study with the potential to change the face of research into dementia along with many other fields. Professor Shinya Yamanaka and his research team developed a method whereby stem cells (cells that can be transformed/differentiated into cells from any tissue) could be generated from a sample of skin. The study, which resulted in a 2012 Nobel Prize for Prof. Yamanaka, demonstrated that skin cells could be isolated from a patient and genetically reprogrammed into induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs). In short, this technology made it possible to generate and study brain cells from a patient with dementia without having to remove any of their brain. All they would need to do is provide scientists with a sample of skin.

Since this development, research groups around the globe have started using iPSCs from many patients with dementia in order to understand the biological mechanisms that underlie disease. Dr Eric Hill runs a research group at Aston University in the UK that specializes in iPSCs for dementia research and he had the following to say about the technology:

Its really exciting because it allows us to study cells with genetic mutations that are patient specific. We can get a much better picture of what is actually happening in the brains of these patients. We can now generate all the different cell types found in the human brain and understand how they function together and map the changes that result in disease.

The latter was perhaps most powerfully demonstrated in a study published by a team at the University of North Carolina, led by Professor Hansang Cho. The team was able to generate three key cell subtypes that play important roles in brain function; study the impact of mutations associated with Alzheimers disease; and even replicate some of the core malfunctions found to trigger disease in the brains of patients.

Studies like this are of significance because a large part of the focus in dementia research is on trying to understand how such changes in function arise. When a patient is diagnosed with a disease such as Alzheimers it is often too late for effective treatment. Scientists, instead, seek to elucidate those early changes in brain cell function in order to diagnose patients earlier to give more time for treatment. It is very much a case of prevention being better than a cure. Dr Hill provided an encouraging statement regarding this:

When we generate brain cells from iPSCs the cells we get are developmentally very young. What is interesting is the fact we still see differences between cells from dementia patients versus healthy patients suggesting we could find markers to help us detect and prevent disease some years before it develops.

Despite such promise, however, iPSCs have yet to provide the field of dementia research with that big break. Multiple treatments have progressed into clinical trials since the technology first emerged but no therapies have been approved. Drugs that show promise in the lab fail to deliver on their potential in patient clinical trials, sending researchers back to square one.

We should not be disheartened by this, however, and should instead view it as space into which the technology of using iPSCs to study dementia can grow. A lot of drugs fail in clinical trials because the platforms used to run initial tests dont provide scientists with a wide enough perspective of how those drugs will influence human cells. Additionally, many preclinical studies use animals with dementia-causing disease artificially induced into them. Studies like this often fail to translate into humans because the initial data is not from a human perspective. This is where researchers like Dr. Hill think iPSCs can provide us with an advantage:

iPSCs could provide us with much better platforms for screening drugs to treat and prevent these diseases. They can really add to what we already have, and while we might not be able to grow a full human brain, we can generate the cells that provide the building blocks for one. They give us the chance to screen new therapies more efficiently, better test their effectiveness and reduce the amount of animal use in dementia research.

Dr Hill is not alone in seeing the promise of using iPSCs to find better treatments for preventing the progression of dementia. Multiple research groups around the world have shown the potential of iPSC-derived brain cells for studying the effectiveness of new therapies.

In the last 12 months we have observed a wave of new studies using iPSCs to try to develop better treatments for diseases like Alzheimers, Parkinsons, Huntingtons disease and ALS. From studies in the University of California identifying cholesterol metabolism as a potential target to treating Alzheimers to studies in Luxembourg helping us find better treatments for Parkinsons, it is easy to see why the global effort to get that big break from iPSCs continues to gain interest. We might still be waiting for that next Noble Prize-winning discovery that will improve the lives of millions of patients but the collective effort of iPSC research groups across the world brings us a step closer with every study they publish. Dementia may, one day, be a thing of the past and iPSC research will likely be a significant part in getting us there.

Sam Moxon has a PhD in regenerative medicine and is currently involved in dementia research. He is a freelance writer with an interest in the development of new technologies to diagnose and treat degenerative diseases. Follow him on Twitter @DrSamMoxon

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Why Some COVID-19 Cases Are Worse than Others – The Scientist

Posted: February 28, 2020 at 11:44 am

Like many other respiratory conditions, COVID-19the disease caused by SARS-CoV-2can vary widely among patients. The vast majority of confirmed cases are considered mild, involving mostly cold-like symptoms to mild pneumonia, according to the latest and largest set of data on the new coronavirus outbreak released February 17 by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

Fourteen percent of confirmed cases have been severe, involving serious pneumonia and shortness of breath. Another 5 percent of patients confirmed to have the disease developed respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multi-organ failurewhat the agency calls critical cases potentially resulting in death. Roughly 2.3 percent of confirmed cases did result in death.

Scientists are working to understand why some people suffer more from the virus than others. It is also unclear why the new coronaviruslike its cousins SARS and MERSappears to be more deadly than other coronaviruses that regularly circulate among people each winter and typically cause cold symptoms. I think its going to take a really, really long time to understand the mechanistic, biological basis of why some people get sicker than others, says Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at Columbia Universitys Mailman School of Public Health.

In the meantime, the latest data from China and research on other coronaviruses provide some hints.

The latest data from China stem from an analysis of nearly 45,000 confirmed cases, and on the whole suggest that the people most likely to develop severe forms of COVID-19 are those with pre-existing illnesses and the elderly.

While less than 1 percent of people who were otherwise healthy died from the disease, the fatality rate for people with cardiovascular disease was 10.5 percent. That figure was 7.3 percent for diabetes patients and around 6 percent for those with chronic respiratory disease, hypertension, or cancer.

While overall, 2.3 percent of known cases proved fatalwhich many experts say is likely an overestimate of the mortality rate, given that many mild cases might go undiagnosedpatients 80 years or older were most at risk, with 14.8 percent of them dying. Deaths occurred in every age group except in children under the age of nine, and, generally speaking, we see relatively few cases among children, World Health Organization Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said last week.

This pattern of increasing severity with age differs from that of some other viral outbreaks, notably the 1918 flu pandemic, for which mortality was high in young children and in people between 20 and 40 years of age. However, its broadly consistent with records of the SARS and MERS coronavirus outbreaks, notes Lisa Gralinski, a virologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. If youre over fifty or sixty and you have some other health issues and if youre unlucky enough to be exposed to this virus, it could be very bad, she says.

I think its going to take a really, really long time to understand the mechanistic, biological basis of why some people get sicker than others.

Angela Rasmussen, Columbia University

Scientists dont know what exactly happens in older age groups. But based on research on other respiratory viruses, experts theorize that whether a coronavirus infection takes a turn for the worse depends on a persons immune response. The virus matters, but the host response matters at least as much, and probably more, says Stanley Perlman, a virologist and pediatric infectious disease specialist at the University of Iowa.

Once SARS-CoV-2 gets inside the human respiratory tract, its thought to infect and multiply in cells lining the airway, causing damage that kicks the immune system into action. In most people, it should trigger a wave of local inflammation, recruiting immune cells in the vicinity to eradicate the pathogen. The immune response then recedes, and patients recover.

For reasons that arent entirely clear, some peopleespecially the elderly and sickmay have dysfunctional immune systems that fail to keep the response to particular pathogens in check. This could cause an uncontrolled immune response, triggering an overproduction of immune cells and their signaling molecules and leading to a cytokine storm often associated with a flood of immune cells into the lung. Thats when you end up with a lot of these really severe inflammatory disease conditions like pneumonia, shortness of breath, inflammation of the airway, and so forth, says Rasmussen.

Local inflammation can turn into widespread inflammation of the lungs, which then has ripple effects across all organs of the body. This could also happen if the virus replicates faster than the immune system can respond, so that it then has to play catch-up to contain the pathogena situation that could also cause the immune defense to spiral out of control. With mice, we know that in some cases, particularly for SARS and MERS coronaviruses, virus replication is very rapid and in some cases overwhelming to the immune system, says Perlman.

Its harder to explain why young, healthy people also sometimes die from the diseasefor instance, Li Wenliang, a 34-year-old doctor who first sounded the alarm about the virus. He died a few weeks after contracting the pathogen.

Genetic and environmental risk factors might help explain the severity of infections. Though its clear that genetic factors can strongly determine the outcome of viral infections in miceas some of Rasmussens work has shown for Ebola, for instanceresearchers havent yet been able to tease out specific genes or variants in mice, let alone in people, that are responsible for varying degrees of illness. Environmental factors, such as smoking or air quality, may also play a role in disease severity, Rasmussen adds.

A lot of research has gone into understanding what causes respiratory failure that results from systemic inflammation of the lungsalso called acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS)that can occur from coronaviruses and other infections. Yet researchers still dont know how it occurs exactly, let alone how to treat it, Gralinksi notes. Its still a really poorly understood issue.

An intriguing finding in the new data released last week is that although similar numbers of men and women have contracted SARS-CoV-2, more men are dying from the disease. The death rate for males was 2.8 percent and 1.7 percent for women. Rasmussen is quick to caution that although the data encompass nearly 45,000 patients, thats still not that many people to determine if theres really a gender biasyoud have to look at this in a much larger population of patients in a number of different countries, she says.

That said, if there is a bias, it would be consistent with what epidemiologists have observed during the SARS and MERS outbreaks. In the 2003 SARS outbreak in Hong Kong, for instance, nearly 22 percent of infected men died, compared to around 13 percent of women. In an analysis of MERS infections between 2017 and 2018, around 32 percent of men died, and nearly 26 percent of women. The difference could have something to do with the fact that the gene for the ACE-2 receptor, which is used by both SARS-CoV-2 and the SARS virus to enter host cells, is found on the X chromosome, she speculates. If its a particular variant of the protein that makes people more susceptible to the virus, then females could compensate for that one bad variant because theyd have two copies of the X chromosome, whereas men would be stuck with only one copy. Or, it could be that men are more likely to be smokers and so their lungs are already a bit compromised. Theres definitely more to be teased out there, Gralinski says.

Some of Perlmans research, which demonstrated that the sex disparity also holds true in SARS-infected mice, points to the hormone estrogen as possibly having protective effects: Removing the ovaries of infected female mice or blocking the estrogen receptor made the animals more likely to die compared to infected control mice. The effects are probably more pronounced in mice than in people, Perlman tells The New York Times.

Whether patients develop antibodies after SARS-CoV-2 infection that will protect them against future infections is still a mystery. Surveys of SARS patients around five or 10 years after their recovery suggest that the coronavirus antibodies dont persist for very long, Gralinski says. They found either very low levels or no antibodies that were able to recognize SARS proteins.

However, for the new coronavirus, we would expect some immunity, at least in the short term, she says.

There are seven coronaviruses known to infect people. Four of them229E, NL63, OC43, and HKU1typically cause a cold and only rarely result in death. The other threeMERS-CoV, SARS-CoV, and the new SARS-CoV-2have varying degrees of lethality. In the 2003 SARS outbreak, 10 percent of infected people died. Between 2012 and 2019, MERS killed 23 percent of infected people. Although the case fatality rate of COVID-19 is lower, the virus has already killed more people than the other two outbreaks combined, which some have attributed to the pathogens fast transmission.

The cold-causing coronaviruses, as well as many other viruses that cause common colds, are typically restricted to the upper respiratory tract, that is, the nose and sinuses. Both SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2, however, are capable of invading deep into the lungs, something that is associated with more severe disease.

One possible reason for this is that the virus binds to the ACE-2 receptor on human cells in order to gain entry. This receptor is present in ciliated epithelial cells in the upper and lower airway, as well as in type II pneumocytes, which reside in the alveoli in the lower airway and produce lung-lubricating proteins. The type II pneumocytes are . . . important for lung function, so this is part of why the lower respiratory disease can be so severe, notes Gralinksi.

The new coronavirus also appears to use the ACE-2 receptor, which may help partially explain why, like SARS, it is more deadly than the other four coronaviruses. Those pathogens use different receptors, except for NL63, which also uses the ACE-2 receptor but binds to it with less affinity, says Gralinski. (MERS is thought to use an entirely different receptor, which is also present in the lower airways.)

To understand these questions fully will take time, research, and consistent funding for long-term studies. Coronavirus funding has been criticized for following a boom-and-bust cycle; viral spillovers from animals to people cause an initial surge of interest that tends to wane until the next outbreak occurs, Rasmussen warns.

Im hopeful that in this case it will be really apparent to everybody in the world that we need to be funding this type of basic science, fundamental science, to understand these mechanisms of disease, she says. Otherwise, were going to be in the same situation when the next outbreak happenswhether its a coronavirus or something else.

Katarina Zimmer is a New Yorkbased freelance journalist. Find her on Twitter@katarinazimmer.

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The Dady Brothers, four others get their Rochester Music Hall of Fame call – WXXI News

Posted: February 27, 2020 at 8:45 am

There was never any doubt that the Rochester Music Hall of Fame class of 2020, with five new names to be celebrated at the April induction concert, would belong to The Dady Brothers.

Few musicians here have been so highly regarded, and for as long, as the traditional folk duo. They played coffeehouses and taverns and shared stages with Pete Seeger, Tommy Makem, The Clancy Brothers and Ani DiFranco. Going back to 1979, John and Joe Dady released 11 albums as a duo, and one solo album a piece.

Although they have been primarily identified with Irish music, and led yearly tours to Ireland, that label does not do justice to The Dadys. They played Celtic, bluegrass, Americana, gospel and Christmas favorites. They performed songs by the Beatles and Bruce Springsteen. They recorded an album of Erie Canal songs, and the soundtrack to a musical about Stephen Foster.

They sang their own songs as well, often reflecting their love for their home of western New York. John Dady's instrumental, "Little Stream," celebrates the tranquility of fishing, one of his favorite pastimes. Joe Dady's "My Conesus Cabin Home" captured the rustic log house where he lived, and served as a mecca for pilgrimages by local musicians in search of the muse.

So The Dadys' induction at the 7 p.m. April 26 concert at Kodak Hall at Eastman Theatre was inevitable.

The remainder of the new class, announced Tuesday morning, offer less easy to divine credentials, but nevertheless represent diverse aspects of Rochester's contributions to the arts.

Two inductees, Mick Guzauski and Michael Laiacona, are among the top behind-the-scenes knob twiddlers in the music industry.

Guzauski is a Grammy-winning sound engineer and producer who has worked with many of the biggest names in the industry, including Michael Jackson, Prince and Eric Clapton. As a high school student here, Guzauski worked in a stereo store, buying used equipment that he repaired and installed in a recording studio in the basement of his parents' house.

He began recording with two Eastman School of Music students, bassist Tony Levin and drummer Steve Gadd, before hooking up with Chuck and Gap Mangione. Guzauski followed Chuck Mangione out to Los Angeles to produce Mangione's 1975 album, "Chase the Clouds Away," and he was off and running.

Levin, Gadd, the Mangiones, trumpeter Lew Soloff, the singer-songwriters Don Potter and Bat McGrath and Guzauski were all a part of that amazing scene of the late 1960s and early '70s in Rochester, and all are now in the Rochester Music Hall of Fame.

After helping establish MXR guitar effects pedals as the leading product of its kind, in 1975, Laiacona founded Whirlwind, which provides technology for virtually every concert venue and tour today.

The most recent Super Bowl halftime show was powered by Whirlwind, which Laiacona started on Boxart Street before moving the business to Ling Road in Greece about two decades ago.

Also joining the Hall of Fame is jazz singer Nancy Kelly, a Rochester native who has released six albums and was named "Best Female Jazz Vocalist" twice in the DownBeat magazine readers' poll. She remains a frequent performer in the area.

And the Hall welcomes jazz drummer and percussionist Roy McCurdy, who was born in Rochester and studied at the Eastman School of Music. By age 17, he was playing with Roy Eldridge and Eddie Vinson, and went on to work with Sonny Rollins, Count Basie, Ella Fitzgerald and Sarah Vaughan.

Each year's list of inductees is shaped by who is available to appear at the induction concert. Big names remain on the list: Soprano Rene Fleming is perhaps the most notable. Significant local rock acts have yet to be acknowledged: The Chesterfield Kings and The Colorblind James Experience. Wang Leehom, a huge film star and musician in Taiwan, was born in Rochester and is a Pittsford Sutherland High School grad.

And there are moments that call for representation in some manner: The Rolling Stones' War Memorial concert that was halted by police out of fear that a riot was breaking out; Red Creek Inn kicking out a young and unknown Irish rock band called U2 that was launching its first American tour here; an unruly Elvis Costello getting thrown out of Scorgie's bar; David Bowie and Iggy Pop getting busted for possession of pot. Clearly, the music industry has issues with Rochester's authority figures.

The previous eight Rochester Music Hall of Fame induction concerts have drawn large audiences, and the musical performances have played a role in those successes. Most notably, there was Paul Simon's surprise appearance for the 2018 induction of Gadd and Levin.

Rochester's Prime Time Funk will once again be the house band, and will back Kelly. McCurdy will play as well, backed by local musicians.

The musical tribute to Laiacona will be by Robin Zander, who is the lead singer of the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame band Cheap Trick, and Grammy-winning guitarist Steve Stevens, perhaps best known as Billy Idol's guitarist and co-songwriter in the MTV era of hair rock. Zander and Stevens will do a handful of Cheap Trick and Idol songs. Other performers, including those for Guzauski's induction, have not yet been announced.

John Dady will also play, joined by musicians from Rochester and New York City. And that moment will almost certainly be the emotional core of the evening, after Joe Dady passed away last year at age 61 from a rare form of leukemia.

As Rochester natives, The Dady Brothers estimated they had played 7,000 shows over some 45 years. They ran a few open-mic nights in Rochester, helping young musicians get their feet under their own careers. John played guitar. Joe mastered fiddle, guitar, banjo, tin whistle, harmonica and uilleann pipes. Both men sang as well.

They appeared on many recordings by local players, as well as a compilation album of musicians collaborating with Seeger. They shared a stage with Clarence "Gatemouth" Brown, The Band's Rick Danko, Arlo Guthrie, Kate Wolf, Johnny Paycheck, Papa John Creech, Jay Unger and Molly Mason and Cherish The Ladies.

As Joe's health deteriorated, John made stem cell donations in the hope of fighting off the leukemia. The procedure failed to halt the disease. Joe Dady died on May 18, in a room with his brother and family members holding his hand.

The following November, a celebration of Joe Dady's life featuring performances of Dady songs and some of Joe's favorite tunes, packed Hochstein Performance Hall. And that emotional yet upbeat evening was a clear reminder that The Dadys had been overlooked by the Rochester Music Hall of Fame for too long.

Tickets start at $31 and are available at rochestermusic.org.

Elsewhere in our Universe

The short version on RUNA: Celtic music. But that's not fair to this quintet, which Golden Link Folk Singing Society is bringing here for a 7:30 p.m. Saturday, Feb. 29, show at Rochester Christian Reformed Church, 2750 Atlantic Ave., Penfield. The music ranges from traditional Irish and Scottish music, jazz, flamenco, blues, Americana roots and a version of Cher's "Gypsies, Tramps and Thieves." The group even won Best Bluegrass Song at the Independent Music Awards. Only one member of the band is from Ireland, the others are from Canada, New York, Philadelphia and Nashville. Jamieson Irish Dance of Webster also performs. Tickets ($23; $25 at the door; students, $10; children 12 and younger attend for free) are at Bop Shop Records or available through goldenlink.org.

After the Rochester City Ballet was awarded its first-ever gift from the National Endowment for the Arts, it immediately called the Chautauqua Institution's associate artistic director and resident choreographer, Mark Diamond. He created "Moulin d'Paris," opening 8 p.m. Friday, Feb. 28, with productions continuing at 8 p.m. Feb. 29 and 2 p.m. March 1, at Nazareth College's Callahan Theater. The story is taken from an 1848 French novel by Alexander Dumas, with liberties: Set in the Paris cabaret Moulin Rouge in the 1900s, this edgy ballet runs from the traditional to hip-hop and a drag-queen number. Tickets (ranging from $37 to $47) are at rochestercityballet.org.

We're all worried about the future. Now writers can do something about it. For 90 minutes, starting at 11 a.m. Saturday, Feb. 29, Alison Lyke teaches "Writing the Future," a class about meeting technology head-on in your fiction. It's at the literary center Writers & Books, 740 University Ave. Lyke has published two sci-fi novels, "Honey" and "Forever People," the latter of which explores the digitized afterlife. Lyke will talk about folks such as Kurt Vonnegut and use examples of today's latest technologies as a launching pad to visions of the future. The future, which is almost always a disaster for mankind. Tickets are $25, get them at wab.org.

Shows have been slow to come at the newly reopened Water Street 2020, 204 N. Water St. But for the venerable East Coast groove band Max Creek, now playing into its fourth decade, it's like the club's closing never happened. Always a Water Street favorite, Max Creek has an 8:30 p.m. Friday, Feb. 28, show at the venue. Tickets ($16 advance with a $5.24 fee, $20 at the door) are available at waterstreet2020.com.

MEE-OWWW! The internet is living proof that people love, love, love cat videos. The Little Theatre, 240 East Ave., offers 72 minutes of cats doing charming things with "CatVideoFest," at 1 and 3 p.m. Saturday, Feb. 29, and 1 and 3 p.m. Sunday, March 1. See cats too fat to fit through their kitty doors! The cuteness is culled from animation, music videos, proud cat-owner submissions and that raging breeder of low pet self-esteem, the internet. Tickets are $9, with a portion of the proceeds going to Lollypop Farm Humane Society of Greater Rochester.

Jeff Spevak is WXXI's Arts & Life editor and reporter. He can be reached at jspevak@wxxi.org.

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The Dady Brothers, four others get their Rochester Music Hall of Fame call - WXXI News

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Hot flashes: How this veteran won the battle against menopause – FirstCoastNews.com WTLV-WJXX

Posted: February 27, 2020 at 8:42 am

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. A few years have passed since Deidra Radel was a young woman proudly wearing her Navy uniform. As a mom and wife, her life was going great.

Then-- in her early 40s -- she found herself stuck with the awful symptoms of menopause. Hot flashes. Night sweats. Draining fatigue. Radel went to a doctor in South Florida and was given a type of Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT), which went under her skin.

"It was terrible! I looked like a teenage boy," she said. She actually took selfies of all the acne that hit her to document the bad results of the HRT.

"I wanted to cry," she says.

Turns out she got an incorrect mix of hormones in her HRT, but the experience was so bad Radel figured she would just deal with her symptoms and never try HRT again.

Radel

Then she heard about an internal medicine physician at Mayo Clinic Jacksonville, Dr. Jackie Thielen. She came to Jacksonville from Mayo Rochester as an expert on women's health issues. Radel had a long meeting with Thielen, and she wound up taking a customized treatment of HRT.

Does she have any symptoms at all now? Hot flashes? Fatigue? Horrible night sweats?

"No. No. No!" Radel said. She's back to full steam with her family. In fact, she agreed to share her story to encourage other women to talk with their doctors and not just suffer from menopause.

Radel

The message to all women? In Thielen's words: "Women do not have to suffer in silence."

Here are some facts about menopause from Thielen:

When a woman goes 12 consecutive months with no periods

"But really menopause can occur between ages 40 and 58," Thielen said. "A woman can experience symptoms leading up to the actual menopause for years."

Thielen points to current research that says some women need estrogen or some form of HRT early on after menopause to cut down their risk of medical troubles.

Thielen says a study, which hit the news in 2002, made women and some doctors frightened of HRT. She says the bad rap continues. "We're trying to change that," Thielen said.

Some women may need to avoid HRT. Those may include particular forms of breast cancer. Women with a certain history of blood clots may need to steer clear as well but even in those cases there could be safe ways to take HRT.

For example, Dr. Thielen says anti-depressants are showing solid results in stopping hot flashes. It doesn't mean you're depressed. "It's all about brain chemistry," Dr. Thielen says.

A Woman's Health Specialty Center will open this spring at Mayo Clinic in Florida. It will provide a team approach for the evaluation, diagnosis and treatment of women's unique needs. Those include:

For more information on menopause click hereand here.

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Hot flashes: How this veteran won the battle against menopause - FirstCoastNews.com WTLV-WJXX

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Hormone Replacement Therapy Market Growth and Status Explored in a New Research by 2020| Abbott Laboratories, Novartis, Pfizer, Mylan Laboratories -…

Posted: February 27, 2020 at 8:42 am

In its recently published report, Ample Market Research has provided unique insights about Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market for the given period. One of the main objectives of this report is to categorize the various dynamics of the market and to offer latest updates such as mergers and acquisitions, various technological developments, new entrants in the market, which make an impact on different segments of the Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market .

The global Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market size is estimated at xxx million USD with a CAGR xx% from 2015-2019 and is expected to reach xxx Million USD in 2020 with a CAGR xx% from 2020 to 2025. The report begins from overview of Industry Chain structure, and describes industry environment, then analyses market size and forecast of Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) by product, region and application, in addition, this report introduces market competition situation among the vendors and company profile, besides, market price analysis and value chain features are covered in this report.

Product Type Coverage (Market Size & Forecast, Major Company of Product Type etc.):

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Segmentation by Type Of Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) Are:

Segmentation by Region Of Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) Are:

The scope of the Report:

The research report on Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) includes segmentation of the market. The Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market is segmented on the basis of application, services, end-users, and region. Each segment includes a detailed explanation of the factors that are likely to drive and restrain it. In addition, the research report also provides an assessment of the emerging trends in the global market that will benefit each segment during the forecast years.

Analysts have also studied the competitive landscape present in the Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market. The chapter on company profiles includes an analysis of the key players operating in the Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market. It provides vital information about the strategic initiatives about the companies in the market and their outlook for the forecast years.

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Report Overview: It includes the objectives and scope of the study and gives highlights of key market segments and players covered. It also includes years considered for the research study.

Executive Summary: It covers Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) industry trends with a high focus on market use cases and top market trends, the market size by regions, and global market size. It also covers market share and growth rate by regions.

Key Players: Here, the report concentrates on mergers and acquisitions, expansions, analysis of key players, establishment date of companies, and areas served, manufacturing base, and revenue of key players.

Breakdown by Product and Application: This section provides details about market size by product and application.

Regional Analysis: All of the regions and countries analyzed in the report are studied on the basis of market size by product and application, key players, and Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT) market forecast.

Profiles of International Players: Here, players are evaluated on the basis of their gross margin, price, sales, revenue, business, products, and other company details.

Market Dynamics: It includes supply chain analysis, analysis of regional marketing, challenges, opportunities, and drivers analyzed in the report.

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Hormone Replacement Therapy Market Growth and Status Explored in a New Research by 2020| Abbott Laboratories, Novartis, Pfizer, Mylan Laboratories -...

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